Evidence Theory (a.k.a. Dempster-Shafer theory) offers a quite general and powerful setting to reason under uncertainty. However, most of the approaches allowing one to instantiate mass functions, the basic building block of the theory, rely on measured, objective data, and there are very few approaches to instantiate them from subjective, expert opinions. Here we suggest a viable solution, based on the concept of pairwise comparisons, for the elicitation of such subjective information. The approach is based on the well-established body of knowledge on the theory of pairwise comparisons and shows its flexibility as it can incorporate multiple representations for the subjective judgments and multiple experts, just to cite two possible extensions.

Using Pairwise Comparisons to Estimate Mass Assignments in Evidence Theory / Brunelli, M., Destercke, S.. - In: INFORMATION SCIENCES. - ISSN 0020-0255. - 2026, 756:(2026), pp. 1-16. [10.1016/j.ins.2026.123855]

Using Pairwise Comparisons to Estimate Mass Assignments in Evidence Theory

Brunelli, Matteo
Primo
;
2026-01-01

Abstract

Evidence Theory (a.k.a. Dempster-Shafer theory) offers a quite general and powerful setting to reason under uncertainty. However, most of the approaches allowing one to instantiate mass functions, the basic building block of the theory, rely on measured, objective data, and there are very few approaches to instantiate them from subjective, expert opinions. Here we suggest a viable solution, based on the concept of pairwise comparisons, for the elicitation of such subjective information. The approach is based on the well-established body of knowledge on the theory of pairwise comparisons and shows its flexibility as it can incorporate multiple representations for the subjective judgments and multiple experts, just to cite two possible extensions.
2026
Settore SECS-S/06 - Metodi mat. dell'economia e Scienze Attuariali e Finanziarie
Settore STAT-04/A - Metodi matematici dell'economia e delle scienze attuariali e finanziarie
Brunelli, Matteo; Destercke, Sébastien
Using Pairwise Comparisons to Estimate Mass Assignments in Evidence Theory / Brunelli, M., Destercke, S.. - In: INFORMATION SCIENCES. - ISSN 0020-0255. - 2026, 756:(2026), pp. 1-16. [10.1016/j.ins.2026.123855]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11572/493950
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