We propose a compartmental model for a disease with temporary immunity and secondary infections. From our assumptions on the parameters involved in the model, the system naturally evolves in three time scales. We characterize the equilibria of the system and analyze their stability. We find conditions for the existence of two endemic equilibria for some cases in which R0 < 1. Then, we unravel the interplay of the three time scales, providing conditions to foresee whether the system evolves in all three scales, or only in the fast and the intermediate ones. We conclude with numerical simulations and bifurcation analysis to complement our analytical results.
A Geometric Analysis of the SIRS Model with Secondary Infections / Kaklamanos, Panagiotis; Pugliese, Andrea; Sensi, Mattia; Sottile, Sara. - In: SIAM JOURNAL ON APPLIED MATHEMATICS. - ISSN 0036-1399. - 84:2(2024), pp. 661-686. [10.1137/23m1565632]
A Geometric Analysis of the SIRS Model with Secondary Infections
Pugliese, Andrea;Sensi, Mattia
;Sottile, Sara
2024-01-01
Abstract
We propose a compartmental model for a disease with temporary immunity and secondary infections. From our assumptions on the parameters involved in the model, the system naturally evolves in three time scales. We characterize the equilibria of the system and analyze their stability. We find conditions for the existence of two endemic equilibria for some cases in which R0 < 1. Then, we unravel the interplay of the three time scales, providing conditions to foresee whether the system evolves in all three scales, or only in the fast and the intermediate ones. We conclude with numerical simulations and bifurcation analysis to complement our analytical results.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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