It is easy to construct pairs of sentences X, Y that lead many people to ascribe higher probability to the conjunction X-and-Y than to the conjuncts X, Y. Whether an error is thereby committed depends on reasoners’ interpretation of the expressions “probability” and “and.” We report two experiments designed to clarify the normative status of typical responses to conjunction problems.

The conjunction fallacy: a misunderstanding about conjunction? / Tentori, Katya; Bonini, Nicolao; D., Osherson. - In: COGNITIVE SCIENCE. - ISSN 0364-0213. - STAMPA. - 28:(2004), pp. 467-477. [10.1016/j.cogsci.2004.01.001]

The conjunction fallacy: a misunderstanding about conjunction?

Tentori, Katya;Bonini, Nicolao;
2004

Abstract

It is easy to construct pairs of sentences X, Y that lead many people to ascribe higher probability to the conjunction X-and-Y than to the conjuncts X, Y. Whether an error is thereby committed depends on reasoners’ interpretation of the expressions “probability” and “and.” We report two experiments designed to clarify the normative status of typical responses to conjunction problems.
Tentori, Katya; Bonini, Nicolao; D., Osherson
The conjunction fallacy: a misunderstanding about conjunction? / Tentori, Katya; Bonini, Nicolao; D., Osherson. - In: COGNITIVE SCIENCE. - ISSN 0364-0213. - STAMPA. - 28:(2004), pp. 467-477. [10.1016/j.cogsci.2004.01.001]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: http://hdl.handle.net/11572/63697
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