ANN uncertainty estimates in assessing fatty liver content from ultrasound data

Background and objective: This article uses three different probabilistic convolutional architectures applied to ultrasound image analysis for grading Fatty Liver Content (FLC) in Metabolic Dysfunction Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD) patients. Steatosis is a new silent epidemic and its accurate measurement is an impelling clinical need, not only for hepatologists, but also for experts in metabolic and cardiovascular diseases. This paper aims to provide a robust comparison between different uncertainty quantification strategies to identify advantages and drawbacks in a real clinical setting. Methods: We used a classical Convolutional Neural Network, a Monte Carlo Dropout, and a Bayesian Convolutional Neural Network with the goal of not only comparing the goodness of the predictions, but also to have access to an evaluation of the uncertainty associated with the outputs. Results: We found that even if the prediction based on a single ultrasound view is reliable (relative RMSE ...