It is easy to construct pairs of sentences X, Y that lead many people to ascribe higher probability to the conjunction X-and-Y than to the conjuncts X, Y. Whether an error is thereby committed depends on reasoners’ interpretation of the expressions “probability” and “and.” We report two experiments designed to clarify the normative status of typical responses to conjunction problems.
The conjunction fallacy: a misunderstanding about conjunction? / Tentori, Katya; Bonini, Nicolao; D., Osherson. - In: COGNITIVE SCIENCE. - ISSN 0364-0213. - STAMPA. - 28:(2004), pp. 467-477. [10.1016/j.cogsci.2004.01.001]
The conjunction fallacy: a misunderstanding about conjunction?
Tentori, Katya;Bonini, Nicolao;
2004-01-01
Abstract
It is easy to construct pairs of sentences X, Y that lead many people to ascribe higher probability to the conjunction X-and-Y than to the conjuncts X, Y. Whether an error is thereby committed depends on reasoners’ interpretation of the expressions “probability” and “and.” We report two experiments designed to clarify the normative status of typical responses to conjunction problems.File in questo prodotto:
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